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Nate Silver Quotes: Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.
         

Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.


Nate Silver
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Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.
         



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There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.



Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.



We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.



New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.



We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.



Success makes you less intimidated by things.

Success makes you less intimidated by things.



The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.



When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen



Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.



On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.





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You flirt with everything." She could tell that her eyes were popping-- her eyeballs actually felt cold around the edges. "You flirt with old people and babies and everybody in between.



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As a dad, it's kind of exciting to see that your son follows what you believe in so strongly.



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Object-oriented programming is an exceptionally bad idea which could only have originated in California.



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The only pitch I have to movie people is the same as this one: Just give me $8 million. I'm not telling you what it's about and I'm not telling you who's in it.



I've never felt grounded because of my ancestry or my gender. I think until women get away from that they're not going to be great writers.

I've never felt grounded because of my ancestry or my gender. I think until women get away from that they're not going to be great writers.



Paul Ryan's just a really, deeply evil little creature. But he's not little; he's actually quite tall, I'm sorry to see. I'm always sorry when really bad guys are tall.

Paul Ryan's just a really, deeply evil little creature. But he's not little; he's actually quite tall, I'm sorry to see. I'm always sorry when really bad guys are tall.




Quote Description


This page presents the quote "Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.". Author of this quote is Nate Silver. This quote is about progress, bayes,.