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Daniel Kahneman Quotes: Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.
         

Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.


Daniel Kahneman
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Other quotes of Daniel Kahneman


The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.



We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.



Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.

Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.



Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.

Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.



This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.

This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.



The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.

The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.



Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.

Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.



By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.



The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.



We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.

We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.





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In an extroverted society, the difference between an introvert and an extrovert is that an introvert is often unconsciously deemed guilty until proven innocent.

In an extroverted society, the difference between an introvert and an extrovert is that an introvert is often unconsciously deemed guilty until proven innocent.



The way I choose to show my feelings is through my songs.

The way I choose to show my feelings is through my songs.




The day of battle dawned pink as the fresh-bitten thigh of a maiden.

The day of battle dawned pink as the fresh-bitten thigh of a maiden.



Infrastructure is much more important than architecture.

Infrastructure is much more important than architecture.



This will be a good time for poetry, you know, when things get darker and stranger and your very speech is being questioned and the sense of trusting that human thing.

This will be a good time for poetry, you know, when things get darker and stranger and your very speech is being questioned and the sense of trusting that human thing.



Poetry is written with tears, fiction with blood, and history with invisible ink.

Poetry is written with tears, fiction with blood, and history with invisible ink.



I'm pretty boring with pizza toppings. I only ever eat margherita. If it's ever anything else then I'll just go 'mmm', pretend to eat it, then throw it in the bin.

I'm pretty boring with pizza toppings. I only ever eat margherita. If it's ever anything else then I'll just go 'mmm', pretend to eat it, then throw it in the bin.



A love relationship has always been shaped by the context and times we live in.

A love relationship has always been shaped by the context and times we live in.



A divorce is like a controlled explosion. Everyone on the outside is OK.

A divorce is like a controlled explosion. Everyone on the outside is OK.




Quote Description


This page presents the quote "Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.". Author of this quote is Daniel Kahneman. This quote is about source, validity, coherence, stories, quality, overconfidence, determined, powerful,.