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Daniel Kahneman Quotes: Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.
         

Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.


Daniel Kahneman
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Other quotes of Daniel Kahneman


The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.



We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.



Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.

Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.



Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.

Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.



This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.

This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.



The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.

The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.



Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.

Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.



By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.



The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.



We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.

We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.





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When you are older, you will learn that the first and foremost thing which any ordinary person does is nothing.

When you are older, you will learn that the first and foremost thing which any ordinary person does is nothing.



I'm fine I said for the 2,467th time this semester. (I know. I was keeping count)

I'm fine I said for the 2,467th time this semester. (I know. I was keeping count)



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Where do the homeless have 90 per cent of their accidents?



I grew up in the suburbs of Toronto, where everything was in a strip mall.

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Robert Louis Stevenson... I'm focusing on the late short stories that I was ignorant of. I always thought he was a boys' author, but he's not at all.

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I know some people say it's not the best to work with your family, but I have never understood that because it's always worked so well for me.

I know some people say it's not the best to work with your family, but I have never understood that because it's always worked so well for me.



I'll tell you right now. I'm for prayer in school.

I'll tell you right now. I'm for prayer in school.



God is about to eliminate the white man from this earth.

God is about to eliminate the white man from this earth.



At the root of many a woman's failure to become a great cook lies her failure to develop a workmanlike regard for knives.

At the root of many a woman's failure to become a great cook lies her failure to develop a workmanlike regard for knives.



I think human intelligence is the only one that will actually tell you intent.

I think human intelligence is the only one that will actually tell you intent.




Quote Description


This page presents the quote "Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.". Author of this quote is Daniel Kahneman. This quote is about bias, hindsight, surprise,.