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Daniel Kahneman Quotes: It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.
         

It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.


Daniel Kahneman
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Other quotes of Daniel Kahneman


The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.



We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.



Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.

Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.



Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.

Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.



This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.

This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.



The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.

The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.



Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.

Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.



By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.



The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.



We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.

We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.





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It is unwise to think that marriage will bring an end to your emotional problems.

It is unwise to think that marriage will bring an end to your emotional problems.



I have no expectation that any man will read history aright who thinks that what was done in a remote age, by men whose names have resounded far, has any deeper sense than what he is doing today.

I have no expectation that any man will read history aright who thinks that what was done in a remote age, by men whose names have resounded far, has any deeper sense than what he is doing today.



I am terrified of being bored.

I am terrified of being bored.



I do not believe in a religion that cannot wipe out the widow's tears or bring a piece of bread to the orphan's mouth.

I do not believe in a religion that cannot wipe out the widow's tears or bring a piece of bread to the orphan's mouth.



If you tell me how you get your feeling of importance, I'll tell you what you are.

If you tell me how you get your feeling of importance, I'll tell you what you are.



Neither privacy nor publicity is dead, but technology will continue to make a mess of both.

Neither privacy nor publicity is dead, but technology will continue to make a mess of both.



Simplicity and common sense should characterize planning and strategic direction.

Simplicity and common sense should characterize planning and strategic direction.



What lives in words is what words were needed to learn.

What lives in words is what words were needed to learn.



The hero of my tale, whom I love with all the power of my soul, whom I have tried to portray in all his beauty, who has been, is, and will be beautiful, is Truth.

The hero of my tale, whom I love with all the power of my soul, whom I have tried to portray in all his beauty, who has been, is, and will be beautiful, is Truth.



What really matters are the lives you touch along the way and how you finish your journey.

What really matters are the lives you touch along the way and how you finish your journey.




Quote Description


This page presents the quote "It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.". Author of this quote is Daniel Kahneman. This quote is about trends, observation, thinking,.