John L. Casti Quotes
The unfolding time for the end of globalization or a worldwide deflation is much longer, certainly measured in years, if not decades.
I do not believe that there is any person, method, or tool that can consistently and reliably predict specific human events, X- or otherwise.
Trying to solve the problem by creating more debt is analogous to trying to stop being an alcoholic by going on a bender down at the corner bar.
At some point, the world is going to have to bite the bullet and accept a huge downsizing in its way of life to bring the assets-to-debt ratio back in touch with reality.
The world is awash in more debt than there is money enough in the world to liquidate it.
I don't think the emergence of a superhuman intelligence would be at all catastrophic but much more likely to be beneficial - just as long as we don't start trying to interfere with it!
I believe is that we can forecast the "changing landscape of context," and thus get insight into when we are entering the danger zone of an X-event.
I think that in the immediate aftermath of a superhuman machine intelligence revealing itself, most people would feel very threatened but take solace in the thought that we can always pull the plug.
The process of globalization has now interconnected almost everything ranging from financial markets to transport networks to communication systems in a huge system that no one really understands.
