Dennis Lindley Quotes
Utility is the emotion pleading to be let into the house of pure reason and thereby enriching it.
Consider the case of a person who holds a view with probability 1. Then coherence says that it is no use having a debate with them because nothing will change their mind.
Almost all thinking people agree that you should not have probability 1 (or 0) for any event, other than one demonstrable by logic, like 2 x 2 = 4.
Whatever way uncertainty is approached, probability is the only sound way to think about it.
It is dangerous to attach probability zero to anything other than a logical impossibility.
The grand assertion is that you must see the world through probability and that probability is the only guide you need.
In teaching there can be too much emphasis on certainty and a proper appreciation of uncertainty is to be encouraged.
Generally there is Stigler's law of eponymy that says that a scientific notion is never attributed to the right person; in particular, the law is not due to Stigler.
